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One Minute Business Checkup

Paddy strikes again

When you come across something good it’s never too long before you come across another great piece.

I hope you enjoyed Paddy’s version of the financial crisis in a previous post. Now here he is again talking about how we got in a mess with untangling credit default swaps.

Some of you may not even know what a credit default swap is!! Paddy will help you understand this in layman’s language…

By the way, for those of you who saw the earlier post… Have you been inspired to do your own whiteboard video yet? I know that I’ve thought about mine and it is on the agenda to be done before Christmas!

Make sure you know what you’re doing around finance

Skill required for smooth ridingI read a couple of things in the press recently which confirmed my long held thought that in the finance area it is dangerous to think that someone is actually out there looking after your interests. Long gone are the days when you could rely on your bank manager to advise you.

How about these thoughts from Andrew Lahde, a hedge fund manager from Santa Monica in California.

“I was in this game for money,” Lahde, 37, wrote in a recent two-page letter in which he said he had come to hate the hedge-fund business.

The low-hanging fruit, i.e. idiots whose parents paid for prep school, Yale and then the Harvard MBA, was there for the taking. These people who were (often) truly not worthy of the education they received (or supposedly received) rose to the top of companies such as AIG, Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers and all levels of our government.

All of this behavior supporting the Aristocracy, only ended up making it easier for me to find people stupid enough to take the other sides of my trades. God Bless America.’

How about these thoughts from Warren Buffet

A simple rule dictates my buying: be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful.

Most certainly, fear is now widespread, gripping even seasoned investors. But fears regarding the long-term prosperity of the nation’s many sound companies make no sense…

These businesses will indeed suffer earnings hiccups, as they always have. But most major companies will be setting new profit records five, 10 and 20 years from now.

Just goes to show that you need to have financial acumen coupled with some good old fashion common sense.

Remember the golden rule: If you don’t understand it… Don’t do it, buy it or sell it!!!

The second Golden rule:  Slow down… anything done in a hurry without the correct thought is an opportunity for someone else, NOT YOU.

What the Economics Professor has been saying

Associate Professor Steven Keen has been writing for the Age over the last couple of months and giving quite some insight into how we got into this financial mess.

I particularly like the simple way he has explained it in one of his earlier articles, entitled Financial chickens are flocking home to roost (September 28th).

He writes:

“BUSINESS as usual” is over. What we have taken as normal times – the ups and downs of Western economies since the 1960s, and the “financial engineering” of the past two decades – have been underwritten by the greatest debt bubble in human history. The meltdown on global financial markets is merely a reflection of the fact that, one day, this bubble had to end.

….So much unnecessary debt was accumulated in pointless speculation that the only way to get rid of it is to write it off – to declare debt moratoriums.

Households may have been naive to take the debt on, but the financial sector was culpable in extending it. Ultimately, it must pay for this folly.

Many of you would have heard me talk about the difference between debt and equity and how the returns from each of them are different.

I believe that the type of return required by a lender determines how that lending will affect a business. When debt and equity get out of balance the way a business operates can be squeezed in a direction by its lenders.

Our definition of the types of return is:

  • Debt lenders look for a fixed, known and limited return. This is normally paid as interest on regular basis.
  • Equity lenders look for a flexible, unknown and unlimited return. This is normally paid as a dividend which can vary both in terms of timing and size of payment.

When too much debt gets into a business it loses it’s flexibility, along with it’s ability to be creative.

Think about this in light of Steven Keen’s comments above and reflect on how our economy is being affected by the debt bubble which he referred to. I’m interested in your thoughts.

Let’s all determine to get more equity into our businesses, squeeze out the debt and head into a position of creativity and flexibility.

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Humour on the financial crisis

Today I thought it would make a nice change just to humour you all a bit.

John nd Hank Green are two brothers who have been sending each other a Vlog each day for the last year.

Hank has a way of explaining things using humour so enjoy his rendition of the financial crisis.

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